Valentina Costantino

PhD Student
Research Officer

Mathematical modeller for public health and infectious diseases control.

Mathematics, Statistics and Natural sciences undergraduate degree, was followed by a Master of Philosophy at UNSW in the School of Public Health and community medicine.

In 2018 she started a PhD at the Kirby Institute, on optimising public health response for outbreak and pandemic control. The thesis has been submitted in 2021.

She is specialised in epidemic forecasting and estimation of outbreak response effectiveness for emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases.

Her interests are in the use of mathematical tools to improve data analyses to inform policy and promote better health for everyone.

During her studies she published over 20 articles in peer review journals and presented results of her research to 4 international conferences.  

She works now as a research officer at the Kirby Institute in the Biosecurity program at UNSW.

 

publications

Journal articles
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MacIntyre CR; Costantino V; Trent M, 2022, 'Modelling of COVID-19 vaccination strategies and herd immunity, in scenarios of limited and full vaccine supply in NSW, Australia', Vaccine, vol. 40, pp. 2506 - 2513, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.04.042
2022
Nguyen PY; Ajisegiri WS; Costantino V; Chughtai AA; MacIntyre CR, 2021, 'Reemergence of human monkeypox and declining population immunity in the context of urbanization, Nigeria, 2017-2020', Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 27, pp. 1007 - 1014, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2704.203569
2021
Costantino V; Raina MacIntyre C, 2021, 'The Impact of Universal Mask Use on SARS-COV-2 in Victoria, Australia on the Epidemic Trajectory of COVID-19', Frontiers in Public Health, vol. 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.625499
2021
Nguyen P-Y; Ajisegiri WS; Costantino V; Chughtai AA; MacIntyre CR, 2021, 'Reemergence of Human Monkeypox and Declining Population Immunity in the Context of Urbanization, Nigeria, 2017–2020', Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 27, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/203569
2021
Costantino V; Kunasekaran M; MacIntyre CR, 2021, 'Modelling of optimal vaccination strategies in response to a bioterrorism associated smallpox outbreak', Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, vol. 17, pp. 738 - 746, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2020.1800324
2021
Raina MacIntyre C; Costantino V; Chanmugam A, 2021, 'The use of face masks during vaccine roll-out in New YorkCity and impact on epidemic control', Vaccine, vol. 39, pp. 6296 - 6301, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.08.102
2021
Costantino V; Trent MJ; Sullivan JS; Kunasekaran MP; Gray R; MacIntyre R, 2020, 'Serological immunity to smallpox in New South Wales, Australia', Viruses, vol. 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/v12050554
2020
Costantino V; Heslop DJ; MacIntyre CR, 2020, 'The effectiveness of full and partial travel bans against COVID-19 spread in Australia for travellers from China during and after the epidemic peak in China', Journal of Travel Medicine, vol. 27, pp. 1 - 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/JTM/TAAA081
2020
MacIntyre CR; Costantino V; Bian L; Bethel C, 2020, 'Effectiveness of facemasks for opening a university campus in Mississippi, United States–a modelling study', Journal of American College Health, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07448481.2020.1866579
2020
MacIntyre CR; Costantino V; Heslop DJ, 2020, 'The potential impact of a recent measles epidemic on COVID-19 in Samoa', BMC Infectious Diseases, vol. 20, pp. 735, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-020-05469-7
2020
Mohanty B; Costantino V; Narain J; Chughtai AA; Das A; Raina Macintyre C, 2020, 'Modelling the impact of a smallpox attack in India and influence of disease control measures', BMJ Open, vol. 10, pp. e038480, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038480
2020
Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Cao Z; Chughtai AA; Costantino V; Zhang D; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2020, 'A model of influenza infection and vaccination in children aged under 5 years in Beijing, China', Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, vol. 16, pp. 1685 - 1690, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2019.1705692
2020
MacIntyre R; Valentina C; Biswajit M; Devina N; Mohana Priya K; David H, 2019, 'Epidemic size, duration and vaccine stockpiling following a large-scale attack with smallpox', Global Biosecurity, vol. 1, pp. 74 - 81, http://dx.doi.org/10.31646/gbio.13
2019
Kunasekaran M; Chen X; Costantino V; Chughtai A; MacIntyre R, 2019, 'Evidence for Residual Immunity to Smallpox After Vaccination', Prehospital and Disaster Medicine, vol. 34, pp. s129 - s129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1049023x19002802
2019
MacIntyre CR; Costantino V; Kunasekaran MP, 2019, 'Health system capacity in Sydney, Australia in the event of a biological attack with smallpox', PLoS ONE, vol. 14, pp. e0217704 - e0217704, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217704
2019
Costantino V; Trent M; MacIntyre CR, 2019, 'Modelling of optimal timing for influenza vaccination as a function of intraseasonal waning of immunity and vaccine coverage', Vaccine, vol. 37, pp. 6768 - 6775, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.08.069
2019
Kunasekaran MP; Chen X; Costantino V; Chughtai AA; MacIntyre CR, 2019, 'Evidence for residual immunity to smallpox after vaccination and implications for re-emergence', Military Medicine, vol. 184, pp. e668 - e679, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/milmed/usz181
2019
MacIntyre CR; Costantino V; Chen X; Segelov E; Chughtai AA; Kelleher A; Kunasekaran M; Lane JM, 2018, 'Influence of population immunosuppression and past vaccination on smallpox reemergence', Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 24, pp. 646 - 653, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2404.171233
2018
Costantino V; Kunasekaran MP; Chughtai AA; MacIntyre CR, 2018, 'How Valid Are Assumptions about Re-emerging Smallpox? A Systematic Review of Parameters Used in Smallpox Mathematical Models', Military Medicine, vol. 183, pp. e200 - e207, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/milmed/usx092
2018
Zhang Y; Cao Z; Costantino V; Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2018, 'Influenza illness averted by influenza vaccination among school year children in Beijing, 2013-2016', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, vol. 12, pp. 687 - 694, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12585
2018
Costantino V; Gidding HF; Wood JG, 2017, 'Projections of zoster incidence in Australia based on demographic and transmission models of varicella-zoster virus infection', Vaccine, vol. 35, pp. 6737 - 6742, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.09.090
2017
Preprints
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Costantino V; Heslop D; MacIntyre R, 2020, The effectiveness of full and partial travel bans against COVID-19 spread in Australia for travellers from China, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.09.20032045
2020
MacIntyre R; Costantino V; Trent M, 2020, Modelling of COVID-19 vaccination strategies and herd immunity, in scenarios of limited and full vaccine supply in NSW, Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.15.20248278
2020
Costantino V; Heslop D; Macintyre R, The effectiveness of full and partial travel bans against COVID-19 spread in Australia for travellers from China, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-17714/v1